Summaries
- 11 June 2026Two macro stories are colliding this week, according to a wide reading of recently published research: an oil-and-inflation shock from the US–Iran conflict, and an AI-driven US investment boom.
- 10 June 2026Three forces dominated macro commentary today: sticky US inflation, the US–Iran flare-up around the Strait of Hormuz, and whether the AI capex boom can keep paying off.
- 9 June 2026Two forces are dominating macro research right now: a sharp repricing of US Federal Reserve policy after a blockbuster May jobs report, and the still-live Iran-Israel conflict feeding through to oil, inflation, and…
- 8 June 2026Two forces are dominating the macro conversation, according to research published this week: a blowout US jobs report that has shifted Fed expectations toward hikes, and a Middle East flare-up pushing oil toward…
- 7 June 2026Strong US jobs data reset the Fed narrative this week — and reignited the debate over whether record equity highs are a melt-up or a bubble.
- 5 June 2026Two stories are dominating macro research desks right now: a red-hot US jobs report rewriting the Fed playbook, and an AI mega-cap IPO wave reviving bubble debates.
- 4 June 2026The Strait of Hormuz energy disruption is now the dominant macro story, and published research broadly converges on its cascading effects across oil, inflation, and risk sentiment — reinforced by a "higher for longer"…
- 3 June 2026Three macro stories are dominating published research this week: a Middle East energy shock, the AI capex boom, and a stubbornly strong US labor market reshaping Fed expectations.
- 2 June 2026Two stories are dominating macro this week, and published research says they're colliding.
- 1 June 2026Two macro forces are dominating research desks this week: the US-Iran standoff and its energy/inflation spillovers, alongside an AI-driven US growth story that is reshaping the Fed debate.
- 31 May 2026This week's macro story: a narrow tech-led rally collided with sticky inflation, a Fed stuck on hold, and an oil market whipsawing on Iran headlines.
- 29 May 2026Two forces dominate the macro conversation right now, with a third running through both, according to recently published research.
- 28 May 2026Today's macro tape is dominated by one story: the Middle East energy shock and what it means for inflation and central banks.
- 27 May 2026Two forces are pulling markets in opposite directions right now, according to a wide read of this week's published macro research.
- 26 May 2026Today's dominant macro story: the US-Iran standoff over the Strait of Hormuz, and how it is rewiring energy prices, inflation expectations, and central bank paths.
- 25 May 2026US-Iran talks over the Strait of Hormuz are dominating the macro tape, and published research is treating the energy and inflation fallout as one inseparable story.
- 22 May 2026Published research this week is converging on one story: the US-Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruption have become the dominant supply shock heading into 2026, feeding inflation and forcing a hawkish rethink of…
- 21 May 2026Today's macro lens: the US-Iran standoff is the through-line shaping oil, inflation, and central bank posture worldwide.
- 20 May 2026Oil and bond yields are the story of the week, and published research is converging on an uncomfortable conclusion: the Fed's next move may be a hike, not a cut.
- 19 May 2026Two stories are dominating macro right now, and published research is converging on both.
- 18 May 2026Published research is converging on a single story today: a Hormuz-driven oil shock is rewiring global rates and central bank expectations.
- 17 May 2026The week's dominant thread: an oil-driven inflation shock is rewriting the rates playbook, and bond markets are repricing fast.
- 14 May 2026Today's dominant macro story, according to published research this week: a hot US inflation print is colliding with a Middle East oil supply shock, and together they're forcing a serious rethink of the Fed's path.
- 13 May 2026Today's macro picture: an energy shock from the Strait of Hormuz closure is colliding with hot US inflation, a hawkish Fed leadership change, and the Trump–Xi summit in Beijing — reshaping rate bets and risk appetite…
- 12 May 2026Middle East energy shock meets a hot US inflation print — and published research is openly debating whether central banks can keep resisting higher rates.
- 9 May 2026Two macro stories are dominating published research this week: the May 16–17 Beijing summit between Trump and Xi, and the Fed's "higher for longer" stance under new Chair Kevin Warsh.
- 8 May 2026Today's macro picture is dominated by two stories: the Strait of Hormuz crisis and a US jobs report that reshuffled Fed expectations.
- 7 May 2026Two stories are dominating macro desks today: a possible US–Iran deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and the AI investment supercycle reshaping equity leadership.
- 5 May 2026The biggest story in markets right now: the US-Iran clash around the Strait of Hormuz has turned into a full-blown energy supply shock, and it's reshaping nearly every corner of global macro.
- 4 May 2026The defining macro story today is the Strait of Hormuz crisis and how it's reshaping oil, inflation, and central bank policy worldwide.