Assets
- Cross-assetPost-midterm AI de-risking is running headfirst into a Fed still tilted toward a December hike, and markets are splitting on what to do about it.
- GoldGold outlook splits sharply by time horizon, according to research published this week.
- SilverSilver has become the clearest split in the published research consensus — and the two camps aren't even arguing on the same timeframe.
- CopperCopper may be set up for a sharp year-end slide, according to a bearish view circulating in recently published commodities research.
- OilPublished research this week leans toward lower crude, but the bearish case is explicitly conditional on Middle East de-escalation and US-Iran talks holding.
- BitcoinBitcoin sentiment in this week's published research skews bearish near term, with price hovering around or below $75,000.
- US equitiesUS stocks are split after the post-midterm, AI-led selloff — with published research lining up on both sides.
- European equitiesEuropean equity research this week tilts constructive on quality single names, but cautious on the near-term tape.
- US bondsPublished research on US Treasuries is split mainly by horizon, not direction.
- EU bondsEuro-area rate hike bets for December are holding, but cheaper oil is muddying the picture.
- EUR/USDPublished research this week leans toward a modestly higher EUR/USD, with the main debate being timing rather than direction.
Macro
- Macro themesDemocratic sweep in the US midterms sparked a sharp sell-off in tech and semiconductors this week, and the published research debate is now about whether AI regulation slows the data-center buildout or just reshapes it.
- Policy makersCentral banks are tilting hawkish as the energy shock threatens to seep into wages and broader prices, with several hikes landing in recent days.
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Every morning, what published research argued the day before: the cross-asset and macro read in full, then every market in a line.