Assets
- Cross-assetAcross markets, the dominant signal from this week's published research is a hawkish, higher-for-longer regime: energy-led inflation with Brent near $115, heavy government bond supply, and rising unease over an AI capex…
- GoldPublished research is leaning bullish on gold, though not unanimously.
- SilverSilver's long-term story still looks bullish, but the near-term read from published research is cautious — with $50 shaping up as the line in the sand.
- CopperCopper's long-term setup is drawing a bullish consensus from independent research this week — though notably, none of it is a short-term trading call.
- OilOil research right now is split between a near-term war premium and a 2027 cooling story — with jet fuel the standout bullish call.
- Natural gasNatural gas is coiling, and published research is pointing to Wednesday's EIA storage report as the decision point.
- BitcoinBitcoin outlook is split this week, and the split comes down to time horizon.
- US equitiesUS stocks look constructive into year-end at the index level — but published research is split hard on AI names, with several warnings of a multi-year AI-led drawdown ahead.
- European equitiesEuropean equities are drawing a mixed-to-modestly constructive read from the latest published research, with no clear consensus and the split driven more by scenarios than outright disagreement.
- US bondsPublished research on US Treasuries is split, and the split is mostly about time horizon.
- EU bondsEuropean rates calls are split by horizon: near-term pressure on yields and French fiscal risk, but a medium-term path lower for Bunds.
- EUR/USDPublished research is tilting bearish on EUR/USD in the near term, though the picture splits sharply by time horizon.
Macro
- Macro themesAI capex and how it gets funded is the theme dominating published research this week, with the Fed's hawkish turn under Chair Warsh and a Middle East oil shock running underneath.
- Policy makersEuro area credit is tightening fast, and published central bank research suggests the squeeze is only beginning to bite.
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Every morning, what published research argued the day before: the cross-asset and macro read in full, then every market in a line.