Asset view · 28 August 2026

Copper: what research is saying

AI summary of published research · 28 August 2026

Copper's uptrend near record highs looks set to hold, according to recently published research.

The core argument: tight inventories outside the US, ongoing mine disruptions, and aggressive American stockpiling ahead of potential tariffs are keeping the market squeezed on both LME and COMEX. Analysts making this case point to a regional supply mismatch — metal is being pulled toward the US while the rest of the world runs thin — and say the resulting logistics distortions should keep the tightness story dominant in the weeks ahead.

The published view isn't uniformly bullish over longer horizons. The same research acknowledges that a global surplus remains a real medium-term possibility once stockpiling normalizes and new supply catches up. For now, though, the consensus in recent notes is that near-term pressures outweigh that longer-dated risk, leaving prices supported around current levels.

Worth watching: US tariff decisions, mine supply headlines, and whether ex-US inventories start rebuilding.