Assets
- Cross-assetMarkets are navigating a crowded risk calendar — US midterms, US-Iran talks, sticky hawkish central banks, and growing stress around how AI capex gets financed. Published research this week leans into those…
- GoldGold: most published research is constructive longer term, but the near-term tape looks shaky.
- SilverSilver is drawing a bullish but patchy set of calls from published research — strong on the long-term story, thin on near-term conviction.
- CopperCopper's near-term path looks lower, according to research published this week, with prices falling 2.8% in Asian trading to USD 6.38 and retesting the recent USD 6.30-6.40 floor.
- OilCrude oil outlook: no clean consensus, with the split hinging on whether US-Iran talks hold or break down after the US midterms.
- Natural gasNatural gas has no clean consensus right now — US and global markets are telling different stories.
- BitcoinBitcoin views right now are split more by time horizon than by true disagreement.
- US equitiesUS equities: the published research consensus leans constructive looking 6–12 months out from the midterms, but the near-term path is genuinely contested.
- European equitiesEuropean equities aren't getting a loud bull or bear call in this week's published research — the message is more nuanced.
- US bondsPublished research this week leans toward lower long-dated Treasury yields, but the front end is a different story.
- EU bondsEuropean rate research is coalescing around one more ECB hike in December, then a long pause — with French and peripheral bond spreads expected to stay under pressure.
- EUR/USDPublished research is leaning bearish on the euro, with most views pointing to a weaker EUR/USD and only a minority taking a wait-and-see stance around the US midterms.
Macro
- Macro themesUS midterms headline a packed macro week, tangled with an Iran-driven oil swing and fresh doubts about who pays for the AI buildout.
- Policy makersEnergy shock meets central banks: the published research consensus this week is that Middle East-driven energy prices are tilting global policy hawkish, not dovish.
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Every morning, what published research argued the day before: the cross-asset and macro read in full, then every market in a line.