Assets
- Cross-assetPublished research this week points to one dominant signal across markets: an energy and inflation shock is driving a global central-bank hiking cycle, while AI-linked equities and credit are starting to wobble.
- GoldGold is split, and the near-term tone leans cautious after the break below $4,000.
- SilverSilver just got hit hard, and the published research consensus is that more pain likely comes before a bottom.
- CopperCopper is caught between supportive fundamentals and a nervous market after prices punched above $14,000 a tonne, according to recently published research that strikes a deliberately neutral tone with no clear…
- OilPublished oil research is leaning higher into year-end, with the key swing factor being whether US-Iran tensions escalate after the midterms.
- Natural gasEuropean gas is the split-screen trade of the week: most published research leans bullish near term, but at least one contrarian view sees prices fading once the geopolitical premium unwinds.
- BitcoinBitcoin faces a weak near-term setup, according to recently published research.
- US equitiesPublished research on US equities is split by horizon: cautious into the midterms and the AI selloff, more constructive looking out 6–12 months.
- European equitiesEuropean equities are getting a cautiously constructive read from recently published research.
- US bondsTreasury views are split by time horizon, according to a wide read of this week's published research.
- EU bondsThe published research consensus is that the ECB will deliver one more 25bp hike in December, taking the deposit rate to 2.75%, with most analysts arguing it's the last or near-last move of the cycle.
- EUR/USDPublished research is tilting bullish on the euro against the dollar over the medium term, though near-term caution is widespread heading into the US midterms.
Macro
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Every morning, what published research argued the day before: the cross-asset and macro read in full, then every market in a line.