Asset view · 15 September 2026

European equities: what research is saying

AI summary of published research · 15 September 2026

European equities are drawing constructive calls from third-party research this week, with upside cases building around the Stoxx 600, European banks, and AI-linked names.

Researchers point to a resilient earnings season, with profits beating forecasts across energy, financials, and basic resources. Aggregate European earnings growth is running near 19%, helped by real-asset exposure and inflation tailwinds. A valuation-focused strand of published analysis adds that European equities (sector-neutral, ex-MAG 7) still trade at roughly a 20% discount to US peers after breaking a decade-long underperformance trend — and argues that gap should narrow toward single digits. Banks get a specific lift from higher rates widening retail lending margins, and one camp of analysts stresses that the AI trade is "alive in Europe," with semiconductors and capital goods leading upward earnings revisions.

On single names, some recently published views frame Commerzbank as a tactical takeover-premium play amid reported German government engagement with UniCredit's CEO, flag CEWE positively on a new €18M buyback, and turn cautious on Hochtief after a technical breakdown from its May high.

The main bearish scenario in circulation is conditional: a severe Middle East escalation hitting energy-intensive sectors — not a base case.