Asset view · 18 August 2026

European equities: what research is saying

AI summary of published research · 18 August 2026

Published research is split on European equities heading into 2026.

One camp of analysts is constructively bullish on European stocks through the rest of 2026, pointing to a compelling relative-value story: 63% of companies are beating earnings estimates, Germany's fiscal boost is delivering a real macro tailwind, and investor inflows into Europe are recovering faster than into the US. Within that view, European banks stand out as a specific positive call — described as fundamentally well-supported and still undervalued.

A more cautious thread of recent research pushes back over the same six-month horizon, arguing that sticky inflation, energy supply vulnerabilities, and geopolitical drag from the Middle East and Ukraine will cap any recovery.

This looks like a genuine disagreement rather than a horizon mismatch — one side leans on earnings and fiscal support, the other on macro risk.

Separately, some session-specific commentary this morning flagged early signs of a negative DAX open — a tactical read, not a structural call.