Asset view · 13 August 2026

European equities: what research is saying

AI summary of published research · 13 August 2026

European equity research is thin today and tilts bearish, with one notable exception at the index level: a modest bounce called for the DAX open.

On the constructive side, some recently published analysis argues the DAX has near-term support from two macro tailwinds — cooling US inflation easing pressure for further rate hikes, and a pause in oil prices reducing inflation risk. That view pointed to a 0.4% higher open, helped by an Asian session recovery.

A contrarian thread of research pushes the other way on Europe more broadly, arguing the region's acute exposure to natural gas price shocks is driving renewed downward pressure across European equities.

The disagreement is genuine and same-horizon: one camp emphasizes US disinflation as the dominant driver, the other emphasizes European energy vulnerability.

On single names, the only Europe-listed call with clear read-through is Fresnillo, highlighted in published research as a preferred miner in a long-term metals bull market — though that's really a metals thesis, not a Europe equity one.